The invention relates to a method for estimating the risk of jellyfish injury, which includes: (1) storing the spatial position of the tourist with a state matrix hp, at the central position (i, j) of the tourist, hp (i, j)=1, and the rest The position is hp=0 (2) calculate the expected number of jellyfish in the research area; (3) use the state matrix fp to store the spatial position of the jellyfish, the grid (i,j) where the jellyfish appears, then fp(i,j)=1 ; The grid (i, j) where jellyfish does not appear, then fp(i, j) = 0; (4) Determine the local rules; (5) Determine the direction of the water flow and wind speed in the research area to point to the shore; (6) Determine the tourists The active area is the observation area H; (7) determine the update time; (8) determine the asynchronous update; (9) implement the algorithm in (1)-(8) based on MATLAB or Fortran, the frequency of jellyfish wounding is close to that of jellyfish (10) Give early warning instructions to bathing places according to early warning standards. The method of the invention can simulate the probability of jellyfish wounding, evaluate the risk of jellyfish wounding, and give bathing places early warning instructions according to early warning standards, thereby rationally managing bathing places and greatly reducing the probability of jellyfish wounding people.