The invention relates to the technical field of
satellite ground equipment and the like, and provides a
landslide prediction method and
system based on a GNSS
receiver, and the
receiver synchronously obtains a three-frequency
carrier signal, constructs a non-combined double-difference model, and carries out the hierarchical
processing of a
troposphere dry component and a
zenith wet component; and two groups of ultra-wide lane
ambiguity are generated based on original observation,
cascade rounding is performed according to the length of the
wavelength after a
noise threshold is met, and a whole cycle result is output. And writing a whole-cycle result into integer linear constraints, and reducing the dimension of the narrow lane
ambiguity into one dimension and thoroughly removing an
ionosphere item in cooperation with geometric correlation and
ionosphere-eliminating
equivalent transformation. Baseline displacement,
zenith moisture content and residual narrow lane
ambiguity are used as states, extended Kalman filtering is implemented by combining an
elevation angle weighted
noise matrix, a narrow lane
floating point solution is obtained, and displacement is updated after a fixed integer is checked through an
LAMBDA algorithm and a ratio. And finally, the displacement rate and the hourly rainfall are synthesized into a
risk index according to historical weights, a
landslide early warning is output when the double indexes exceed the threshold, and high-reliability risk judgment of the
landslide is realized.