This invention provides a modeling method for objective short-term heavy
precipitation forecasting that integrates multi-scale meteorological features, belonging to the field of
precipitation forecasting technology. The method includes the following steps: collecting data at several scales and preprocessing the collected data; constructing a progressive multi-scale feature
pyramid network; designing a multi-scale spatiotemporal attention fusion module; constructing a
task learning framework, including a
precipitation probability head, a precipitation intensity head, and an
optical flow head; constructing a dynamic
weight loss function; model training and optimization; actual precipitation prediction; and finally, fine-tuning the model to complete its construction. The progressive multi-scale feature
pyramid network can more effectively extract and fuse multi-scale features, capturing information at different scales from local
convection to weather systems. The multi-scale spatiotemporal attention fusion module adaptively fuses multi-
source data, fully utilizing the complementarity of
radar,
satellite, and numerical model data.