The invention relates to an
electric vehicle adjustable capacity dynamic
estimation method fusing multi-factor interaction and non-complete rational decision, and belongs to the field of
electric power systems. The method comprises the following steps: simulating the
travel time and path of an
electric vehicle based on a travel chain theory and
Gaussian mixture distribution, and predicting a charging demand in combination with a
dynamic energy consumption model; establishing a vehicle-road-
station multi-factor information
interaction model, fusing a traffic road network state,
charging station queuing information and a user remaining endurance mileage, and realizing accurate
simulation and adjustable capability evaluation of a vehicle access behavior of an
electric vehicle network access
station; constructing a non-complete rational user behavior model based on reference point dependence, comprehensively considering
energy consumption cost saving income and off-network time
delay loss, and solving an optimal charging and discharging strategy of a user; and finally, the charging and discharging adjustable capacity of the cluster electric vehicles in the space-time dimension is evaluated. According to the method, the interaction influence of the user decision behavior and the
system can be reflected more truly, and the accuracy and practicability of adjustable capacity evaluation are improved.