The invention belongs to the technical field of
image analysis and
processing, and particularly relates to a
flame image-based
rotary furnace combustion state prediction method and
system. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring a
video image sequence of flames in the
rotary furnace, and converting each frame of image into a YUV
color space; calculating a
combustion contribution degree based on the brightness component and the
chromaticity component, and screening out a core
flame pixel set; taking the
combustion contribution degree as a weight, calculating a weighted
covariance matrix, determining a confidence
ellipse according to the eigenvalue and eigenvector of the matrix, taking the center of the confidence
ellipse as a weighted
centroid, determining a rotation angle by the eigenvector, and making the length of long and short semi-axes in direct proportion to the square root of the eigenvalue; extracting the area, eccentricity rate, rotation angle and center position of the confidence
ellipse as combustion state feature vectors at the current moment; and inputting a
time sequence formed by the combustion state feature vectors at the multiple moments into a pre-trained
hidden Markov model, and outputting the combustion state of the
rotary furnace. According to the invention, the accuracy and anti-interference capability of combustion
state prediction are improved.