The invention belongs to the technical field of steel manufacturing, and particularly relates to a component
change prediction method and
system for a special steel type mixed
casting blank, and particularly relates to a component
change prediction method for a special steel type mixed
casting blank. The method comprises the following steps of: collecting a mixed
casting blank sample, and analyzing the component change of the mixed casting blank sample; acquiring the
tundish residual steel quantity and the
tundish steel production capacity, and fitting a mixing
degree function model according to the component change, the
tundish residual steel quantity and the tundish steel production capacity; acquiring the
continuous casting pulling speed and the width of the mixed casting blank sample, and fitting a
liquid core impact depth
function model according to the component change, the
continuous casting pulling speed and the width; and according to the mixing
degree function model and the
liquid core impact depth
function model, predicting the initial position and the final position of the mixed casting blank, wherein the mixing
degree function model and the
liquid core impact depth
function model are established without depending on laboratory
digital analog calculation or
water model experiments, so that the prediction accuracy is high.