The invention discloses a fixed value
dynamic switching method, device and
system based on real-time state
perception, and the method comprises the steps: calculating a
current voltage deviation rate, a
current voltage change rate, a current
frequency deviation rate and a current frequency change rate based on the obtained real-time electrical quantity of a
transformer substation; inputting the
voltage and the frequency at the current moment into a
time sequence prediction model to obtain a prediction result, wherein the prediction result comprises a
voltage prediction value, a frequency prediction value and the confidence coefficient of each prediction value; combining the
current voltage deviation rate, the current
voltage change rate, the current
frequency deviation rate and the current frequency change rate to perform effectiveness evaluation on the prediction result; aiming at the effective prediction result, generating a fault constant value by adopting a hierarchical control strategy, and writing the fault constant value into a standby constant value area; and when the switching requirement is met, replacing the
current constant value with the generated fault constant value. According to the method, the problems of poor adaptability, dependence on manual switching and low switching efficiency of a traditional fixed value strategy in a high-proportion
new energy power grid can be solved, and the risk of misoperation of a stability control device is reduced.