The invention discloses a maximum posterior ship wave load reliability
analysis method based on an improved
maximum entropy method, and belongs to the technical field of ship wave load response and reliability evaluation.The method comprises the steps that a
performance function # imgabs0 # of ship profile load response is obtained, and a variable # imgabs1 # influencing the
performance function of the ship profile load response and distribution information of the variable # imgabs1 # are obtained; initially, a small number of samples # imgabs3 # are extracted from a sampling space # imgabs2 # based on a Sobol sequence to form a
training set # imgabs4 #, and a function value # imgabs6 # is obtained according to the
training set # imgabs5 #; on the basis of the
training set # imgabs7 #, a proxy model # imgabs8 # is constructed by using a
Gaussian random process, a neural network and other proxy model methods. According to the method, a maximum posteriori and proxy
model method is applied, the mapping relation of the
performance function is obtained by using the proxy
model method, and the mapping relation is used as
prior information based on a maximum posteriori framework, so that the problem of low prediction precision of a traditional integer moment
maximum entropy method due to insufficient information is effectively relieved, the calculation amount of the performance function is reduced, and the prediction efficiency is improved. And the calculation precision is improved.