The invention discloses a wind curtailment and light curtailment prediction and evaluation method based on integrated learning, and the method comprises the steps: S1, collecting multi-
source data, and forming a structure
monitoring data set and an operation environment
data set; s2, extracting a structure sensing
feature vector of the structure
monitoring data set by adopting an improved CoAtNet network; s3, forming a structure-operation
coupling feature sequence by the structure sensing
feature vector and the operation environment
data set; s4, designing a multi-
dimensional modeling strategy for a wind curtailment and light curtailment prediction task, and outputting a sub-
model prediction result set; s5, performing weighted fusion on the sub-
model prediction result set through an improved Stacking integrated model, and outputting an integrated prediction value and a probability
confidence interval; s6, on the basis of the integrated predicted value and the probability
confidence interval, constructing a wind and light abandoning evaluation index; and S7, generating wind curtailment and light curtailment risk early warning information and hot
pile structure deployment suggestions based on the wind curtailment and light curtailment evaluation indexes. According to the invention, accurate prediction and structure
layout optimization of the wind and light abandoning risk in the high-
latitude region are realized.