The present application provides an
asphalt pavement apparent
disease evolution deduction method,
system, device and medium, which belongs to the field of
road engineering,
transportation infrastructure operation and maintenance and intelligent detection technology, and comprises the following steps: constructing a unified space-time reference
system, aligning and normalizing multi-
source data in space-time; forming section-level
disease quantification characteristics based on the recognition results of the inspection images and the structural indexes; event coding the maintenance measures of the
road surface and pre-
processing the section-level
disease quantification characteristics corresponding to the time of the maintenance measures; constructing the correlation,
time lag effect and
spatial consistency between the disease types,
disease characteristics and structural indexes to generate the collaborative evolution characteristics of the
coupling relationship between diseases; constructing a deep
time series prediction model to obtain the disease development trend at a specified time scale in the future, and forming the section-level disease evolution prediction result. The present application can depict the disease development law at different road sections and different time scales, and predict the future disease expansion.