The invention discloses a high-precision space target
orbit forecasting method based on
numerical fitting, and relates to the technical field of space target
orbit forecasting,
frequency domain decomposition is combined with a
harmonic compensation model, and seasonal
system drift caused by sun-moon gravity is thoroughly eliminated; high-frequency components peel off attitude
noise through light pressure parameterization and smooth difference, and perturbation
coupling error transmission is avoided; a
harmonic order adaptive mechanism captures a main disturbance term with the minimum calculation amount; carrying out least square batch
estimation to realize coefficient primary solution; the
template library pre-loading technology effectively compresses the time consumed for new target initialization; in addition, a geomagnetic
modulation factor is introduced to dynamically suppress compensation
distortion during a magnetic
storm period, a sliding window mechanism guarantees real-time updating of a coefficient, and stable forecasting is still maintained under an extreme event; attitude measurement is replaced by
luminosity curve inversion, so that non-cooperative target forecasting becomes possible; tangential component directional compensation ensures the stability of an
orbital plane, and reduces the fuel consumption of
satellite position protection.