The invention provides an
occultation constellation observation system simulation and forecast capability evaluation method, which comprises the following steps of: simulating and calculating an atmospheric
refractive index by using a GNSS (Global Navigation
Satellite System) radio
occultation refractive index observation operator; simulating and calculating a one-dimensional bending angle by using a GNSS radio
occultation one-dimensional bending angle observation operator; simulating and calculating a two-dimensional bending angle by using a GNSS radio occultation two-dimensional bending angle observation operator; correcting the bending angle of the L2 frequency on the basis of the difference between the bending angles of the L1 and L2 frequencies; and completing
quality control of occultation
observation data based on the atmospheric
refractive index, the one-dimensional bending angle, the two-dimensional bending angle, the corrected bending angle of the L2 frequency and the actually collected occultation
observation data, wherein the atmospheric refractive index, the one-dimensional bending angle and the two-dimensional bending angle are calculated through
simulation. By establishing the error evaluation model for the autonomous occultation
constellation observation data, the assimilation application effect of the autonomous occultation
constellation observation data in the numerical
weather forecasting system can be optimized, and direct technology and experience can be provided for business operation of future observation data in the numerical
weather forecasting system.