The invention relates to the technical field of
power grid safety evaluation, in particular to a power
system short-circuit parameter prediction method,
system and device based on time-space relevance and a storage medium. A multi-dimensional
state vector including a node
voltage vector, a
branch current vector, a short-circuit impedance matrix, spatial position information and a time
feature vector is constructed, and a space-
time correlation feature vector including a time-dimensional feature, a spatial-dimensional feature, a space-time
coupling feature and a state feature is extracted.
Wavelet transform,
Fourier analysis and
graph theory analysis are adopted to identify a parameter change rule and a
propagation effect. A multi-level prediction model of a statistical prediction layer, a
deep learning layer and a fusion layer is constructed, and comprehensive description of dynamic characteristics of short-circuit parameters is realized through spatio-temporal
feature fusion. A staged training strategy is adopted, and comprises the steps of establishing a basic model through offline training, updating parameters in real time through
online learning, and quantifying uncertainty through a probability prediction framework. And a prediction correction mechanism and a reliability
evaluation system are established, and a complete prediction-evaluation-correction
closed loop is formed.