The invention provides a road
disease detection method based on a
Bayesian network, and the method comprises the steps: firstly collecting environment, traffic and structure multi-
source data, recognizing key risk factors affecting road diseases, and constructing a causal
dependency graph between events; on this basis, a static
Bayesian network structure is constructed, risk factors are mapped into bottom layer nodes,
disease mechanisms are mapped into intermediate nodes,
disease'super-threshold state 'is set as top layer nodes, and
conditional probability parameter learning is completed through maximum likelihood
estimation and Bayesian
estimation methods. Furthermore, a
dynamic Bayesian network is constructed, a time slice and cross-
time sequence dependency relationship is introduced, and recursive modeling of a disease evolution process is realized through a dynamic transition probability table. In the model reasoning stage, a variable
elimination method is adopted for probability calculation, missing information is processed in combination with a data credibility weight mechanism, and key influence factors are identified through
sensitivity analysis. The method can be widely applied to risk prediction and intervention
simulation of multiple disease types such as ruts and cracks, and provides decision support for road
maintenance management.