The invention relates to the technical field of
drilling engineering and geological
safety monitoring, in particular to a water drilling hole wall stability early warning method based on
slurry parameters and drilling tool postures, which comprises the following steps of: 1, sensing and acquiring multi-source heterogeneous parameters in real time; 2, constructing a hole wall stability evaluation
index system; step 3, constructing a virtual drilling digital twinborn model and performing stress
simulation; according to the method, synchronous acquisition and fusion analysis are carried out by integrating the mud performance parameters, the drilling tool attitude parameters and the stratum
response parameters, a multi-source heterogeneous hole wall stability evaluation
index system is constructed, multi-source
information fusion algorithms such as a D-S evidence theory and Kalman filtering are adopted, the limitation of dependence on a
single parameter in the prior art is overcome, and the method is suitable for large-scale popularization and application. According to the method, the hole wall state can be comprehensively judged from multiple dimensions of mechanical balance,
slurry wall protection efficiency and drilling tool disturbance, the comprehensiveness of
risk identification and the accuracy of early warning signals are remarkably improved, and misjudgment or missed judgment caused by information islands is avoided.