The invention relates to the technical field of energy-saving optimization, in particular to an energy-saving quantity prediction and energy efficiency optimization method in a
simulation environment, and the method achieves the real-time correction through defining a
dynamic simulation-field mismatch factor and comparing a
simulation predicted
cooling capacity with an actually measured
cooling capacity, and guarantees that the energy-saving prediction is closer to a
real field operation state. And a
thermal inertia-exogenous driving response index is designed, and the dynamic response of passenger flow disturbance to the
cooling capacity demand is quantified, so that the heat
storage effect and control
lag of the building are explicitly described, and the physical reasonability of prediction is improved. A
simulation consistency-hydraulic matching index and a
thermal inertia response index are fused into a core feature, a
coupling penalty factor is introduced, a measurable credibility function is formed, and a risk boundary is provided for energy-saving prediction. Based on the corrected simulation
energy consumption difference, energy-saving quantity point
estimation is calculated in combination with core characteristics, an instant energy-saving predicted value is output,
interval prediction can be expanded, and the requirements of operation and maintenance
decision making and energy-saving auditing are met.