The invention belongs to the field of agricultural
remote sensing, and relates to a regional
crop maturing stage prediction method based on accumulated temperature,
radiation and
soil water content. The specific steps of the method include: S1, synthesizing MODIS NDVI data of a to-be-predicted
crop at a whole growing stage according to a
time sequence, and extracting a planting region by employinga
random forest algorithm; S2, constructing an accumulated temperature and
radiation model from a heading stage to a maturing stage in a full
irrigation condition; S3, constructing a Thiessen polygonby regarding agricultural weather stations as nodes; S4, calibrating a SWAP model of the to-be-predicted
crop of a research region; S5, establishing a maturing stage correction factor
lookup table ofthe
soil water content at the whole growing stage and a maturing date of the to-be-predicted crop in a
water stress condition; and S6, dynamically adjusting maturing stage model results of accumulated temperature and
radiation grid unit by grid unit, and obtaining an optimal maturing stage prediction result of the to-be-predicted crop. According to the method, advantages of a
statistical model and a mechanism model are combined, the maturing stage of the crop can be predicted in a large-region scale, and the prediction precision of the maturing stage of the crop is improved.