The invention discloses a chronic obstructive
pulmonary disease acute
exacerbation risk early warning method and
system based on home
monitoring data and environmental factors, and belongs to the technical field of
medical health monitoring and risk early warning. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring multi-dimensional data (symptom
score, FEV1 trend, night blood
oxygen saturation, medication compliance and
weather data) of a user; pre-
processing the multi-dimensional data and inputting the pre-processed multi-dimensional data into the trained
machine learning prediction model; the model outputs an acute
exacerbation risk probability value in the future 7 days; when the
risk probability exceeds a preset threshold value, graded early warning information and personalized intervention suggestions are sent. The
system comprises a
data acquisition module, a data preprocessing module, a
model prediction module, an early warning pushing module and a terminal interaction module. Multi-
source data are integrated, through targeted
feature extraction and model training, early-stage accurate early warning of chronic obstructive pulmonary acute
exacerbation is achieved, meanwhile, personalized intervention suggestions are provided, early warning-intervention-feedback closed-loop management is supported, operation is convenient, cost is controllable, the acute exacerbation occurrence rate and the hospitalization rate of patients can be effectively reduced, and the patient experience is improved. The method is suitable for popularization and application in family and basic medical scenes.