The invention discloses a vehicle speed prediction method and
system in a
dynamic vehicle following scene considering a traffic environment, and the method comprises the steps: extracting vehicle following case data through setting a standard and a threshold value of a vehicle following process in a natural driving
data set; using a target detection
algorithm to obtain traffic environment characteristics related to the vehicle following case data, extracting
vehicle dynamics parameters in the vehicle following case data, fusing the
vehicle dynamics parameters and the traffic environment characteristics, and performing normalization
processing to obtain fusion characteristics; removing redundant variables in the fused features by adopting a combined
feature selection method; and dividing the fusion features from which the redundant variables are removed into a
data set, training a pre-established Informer-FDR vehicle speed prediction model, and obtaining a vehicle speed prediction result by using the trained vehicle speed prediction model. The method effectively reflects the dynamic interaction characteristics of the driver and the traffic environment and potential traffic conflicts, enhances the understanding of the model for the complex driving environment, and improves the real-time performance and accuracy of vehicle speed prediction.