The invention relates to the technical field of mine gas disaster prediction, in particular to a
gas concentration time sequence prediction method based on MSADBO-CNN-GRU-Attention. Firstly, dynamic Pearson
correlation analysis is used, weighting is conducted on all indexes based on a time window of one hour,
key factors leading
gas concentration in different time periods are revealed, and therefore interference of irrelevant factors is weakened, and meanwhile the
signal strength of the
key factors is enhanced. Thirdly, performing local
feature extraction on the data by applying a
convolutional neural network (CNN), capturing multi-scale information, learning a
time sequence data long-term dependency relationship and transmitting state information between time steps in combination with a gating cycle unit (GRU); an Attention mechanism is added to weight the hidden state output by the GRU so as to highlight the importance of key time nodes and improve the accuracy of multi-step prediction. And then, an improved sine
algorithm, adaptive
Gaussian-Cauchy mixed variation disturbance and a Bernoulli
chaotic mapping improved
dung beetle search algorithm are fused to obtain MSADBO, and then model hyper-parameters are globally and adaptively optimized. And finally, training the model, establishing a prediction model based on MSADBO-CNN-GRU-Attention, and verifying the performance of the prediction model by comparing the model. According to the
gas concentration multi-index multi-step
time sequence prediction method provided by the invention, parameter adaptability,
feature mining and depth time
sequence modeling are combined, the prediction performance of the gas concentration is improved, and a solution is provided for high-precision multi-step time
sequence prediction of the gas concentration under complex working conditions.